Three separate issues / trends that I’m looking at, and hoping to address:
- Entrepreneurship: An increasing interest by younger people entering the workforce to create their opportunities (forming or joining startups or smaller companies) rather than have their opportunities handed to them (joining a larger company).
- Collaboration: Rapidly decreasing startup costs [1] and continued development and usage of inter-company interaction and communication platforms leading to reduced interaction costs and an increasing need to develop collaboration core competencies. [2]
- Venture Capital: A “funding gap” in the venture capital community, where there is a dearth of investors funding early-stage companies in their growth from seed stage to established companies.
All of these trends are addressed far better elsewhere: search for “millennial entrepreneur”, or “venture capital funding gap”, or read John Hagel, Paul Graham, Fred Wilson, Umair Haque or Marc Andreesson, to start.
I’ve touched on some aspects of these trends before, but instead I’ll address a different (although inter-related) set of questions:
- If more people want to be entrepreneurs, will they want to form the same kind of businesses that exist today?
- Does a company have to get big for it to be successful, or can “lifestyle businesses” be a successful end goal?
- And if so, do we need an entirely new structure and economic model for funding new businesses that does not depend on exit M&A-events to create economic value for investors?
Following on, some unstructured thoughts about these trends, issues, questions…
1) Aren’t we seeing venture capital address the funding gap?
The “Y-Combinator Approach”… the buzz is there, not just in Silicon Valley, and not just about copying Y-Combinator. The key in this space is to learn the lessons from the incubator approach in the early 00s. Y-Combinator is an early success story because a) they eschew coddling entrepreneurs to the degree typical of most early-00’s incubators, b) they do a great job of using social media to create deal flow and c) we are in a vastly different cost structure and market environment for startups than we were then, especially in web software.
And angels are in fact starting to become more institutionalized and move up the funding ladder, pursuing later, bigger deals. But from what I’ve seen the interest is more in partnering with institutional money, “validating” their investments, rather than continuing to fund startup risk.
And at the same time, venture capital continues to get farther and farther away from the market it used to serve. Read Haque, Wilson, and a lot of influential and forward-thinking venture capitalists and you’ll see the trend exists; there are a lot of people interested in “fixing” venture capital (and not just from entrepreneurs looking for funding).
2) What happens if people want to create lifestyle, cash-flow built businesses but venture capitalists wants to invest in scalable, big hit and big exit businesses?
It’ll be tough for the two to work together. Entrepreneurs always have the option of bank debt to fund a new company by getting business loans from a bank. While that model still works in a physical asset business, it just doesn’t fit the needs of the bank or the entrepreneur in the digital asset / knowledge / communication industry. And banks have a serious skillset mismatch in funding non-physical asset based businesses. [3]
3) If the model of creating new businesses change, how will the rest of the ecosystem adapt?
I’m more curious how things change when startups get even cheaper to start and maintain, or if/when people truly prefer starting companies to getting jobs (is it fundamental to the Millennial Generation entering the workforce or something more?), or the “value of collaborating” gets higher and the transaction costs between companies get even lower.
What role does venture capital take? What risks does venture capital take on to take a company to scale (market, technology, etc.)? When is money really necessary (what stage)? Will venture capital investors focus on enabling business to scale rather than to start?
Venture and angel investors make money when deals get made - M&A - for the big hit multiple. But what if the goal of entrepreneurs is sustainable, life-style businesses, that for the large part will never have a big-hit M&A event, just annual cash flow, which just doesn’t fit the venture capital economic model. If the risks of starting a company decrease, does the deviation of returns decrease?
Can we make it easier for people and companies to collaborate? When will people start mini-companies, one-person, two-person shops? How do we improve on the freelance / consultant marketplaces like Guru.com and Elance.com? How can social networks help to fill this gap to connect mini-companies?
Is there an alternative route towards funding startups based on a different economic model?
Or am I misguided, overly idealistic (”everyone wants to get rich”), biased by web economics, out of touch with most small entrepreneurs, thinking about a very small niche, or just flat-out wrong? I’m looking forward to finding out.
—
[1] At least for web software
[2] Ethan has been pushing my thoughts on “collaboration core competencies”
[3] Maybe venture debt is an alternative viable funding model, but I’m not as familiar (yet) with venture debt economic model or history of returns. Would love to learn…


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July 9, 2008 at 23:42
[...] Following up on my thoughts on whether we need a new funding model for starting businesses… [...]